NEW DelHI: Chuma chaulesi chaku India komanso mafakitale omwe amadalira kwambiri mafuta osaphika monga ndege, zombo, misewu ndi masitima apamtunda akuyembekezeka kupindula ndi kutsika kwadzidzidzi kwamitengo yamafuta osakanizidwa chifukwa cha mliri wa coronavirus ku China, mafuta ochulukirapo padziko lonse lapansi. importer, anatero akatswiri azachuma, akuluakulu akuluakulu ndi akatswiri.
Ndi mafakitale osiyanasiyana akukonzanso njira zawo pomwe zonenedweratu za kufunikira kwa mphamvu zikuchepa chifukwa cha kufalikira kwa coronavirus, ogulitsa mafuta ambiri monga India akufunafuna kuchita bwino.India ndi dziko lachitatu padziko lonse loitanitsa mafuta kunja komanso lachinayi pakukula kwa gasi wachilengedwe (LNG).
Msika wamafuta pakadali pano ukukumana ndi vuto lotchedwa contango, pomwe mitengo yamafuta imakhala yotsika kuposa makontrakitala am'tsogolo.
"Ziwerengero za mabungwe angapo zikusonyeza kuti zofuna za ku China za Q1 zidzatsika ndi 15-20%, zomwe zidzachititsa kuti padziko lonse lapansi kufunikira kwa zinthu zopanda pake kuchuluke.Izi zikuwonetsa mitengo yamafuta ndi LNG, omwe onse ndi abwino ku India.Izi zithandiza India pazachuma chake chachikulu pokhala ndi vuto laakaunti pano, kusungitsa kayendetsedwe kake kakusinthana komanso kukwera kwa mitengo, "atero a Debasish Mishra, mnzake ku Deloitte India.
International Energy Agency (IEA) ndi Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec) achepetsa kufunikira kwamafuta padziko lonse lapansi kutsatira kufalikira kwa coronavirus.
"Magawo monga ndege, utoto, zoumba, zinthu zina zamafakitale, ndi zina zotere zitha kupindula ndi dongosolo lamitengo yabwino," adawonjezera Mishra.
India ndi malo ofunikira kwambiri aku Asia oyenga, omwe amatha kuyika matani opitilira 249.4 miliyoni pachaka (mtpa) kudzera m'malo 23 oyeretsera.Mtengo wa dengu la ku India la crude, lomwe linali $56.43 ndi $69.88 pa mbiya mu FY18 ndi FY19, motsatana, linali $65.52 mu Disembala 2019, malinga ndi kafukufuku wa Petroleum Planning and Analysis Cell.Mtengo unali $54.93 mbiya pa 13 February.Dengu la Indian likuyimira pafupifupi Oman, Dubai ndi Brent crude.
"M'mbuyomu, mitengo yabwino yamafuta idawona kuti phindu la ndege likuyenda bwino," atero a Kinjal Shah, wachiwiri kwa purezidenti wamabizinesi ku bungwe la ICRA Ltd.
Pakuchepa kwachuma, makampani oyendetsa ndege ku India adakwera 3.7% mu 2019 mpaka okwera 144 miliyoni.
"Ino ikhoza kukhala nthawi yabwino kuti ndege zibwezere zomwe zatayika.Ndege zitha kugwiritsa ntchito izi kubweza zomwe zidatayika, pomwe apaulendo atha kugwiritsa ntchito nthawi ino kukonzekera ulendo chifukwa mtengo wa matikiti a ndege ungakhale wabwino kwambiri, "atero a Mark Martin, woyambitsa komanso CEO ku Martin Consulting Llc, mlangizi woyendetsa ndege.
Kufalikira kwa coronavirus ku China kwakakamiza makampani opanga magetsi kumeneko kuyimitsa mapangano operekera ndikuchepetsa zotulutsa.Izi zakhudza mitengo yamafuta padziko lonse lapansi komanso mitengo yotumizira.Kuvuta kwa malonda komanso kuchepa kwachuma kwachuma padziko lonse lapansi kulinso ndi vuto lalikulu pamisika yamagetsi.
Akuluakulu ku Indian Chemical Council, bungwe lazamakampani, adati India imadalira China pazamankhwala pamtengo wamtengo wapatali, ndipo gawo ladzikolo pakugulitsa kuchokera ku 10-40%.Gawo la petrochemical limagwira ntchito ngati msana wa magawo ena osiyanasiyana opanga ndi osapanga monga zomangamanga, magalimoto, zovala ndi zokhazikika zogula.
"Zida zopangira komanso zoyimira zimatumizidwa kuchokera ku China.Ngakhale, mpaka pano, makampani omwe akuitanitsa izi sakukhudzidwa kwambiri, njira zawo zoperekera zinthu zikutha.Chifukwa chake, atha kumva kuti zikuyenda bwino ngati zinthu sizikuyenda bwino, "atero a Sudhir Shenoy, Purezidenti wa dziko komanso CEO wa Dow Chemical International Pvt.Ltd.
Izi zitha kupindulira opanga mankhwala a rabara, ma electrode a graphite, wakuda wa kaboni, utoto ndi utoto chifukwa kutsika kwa China kungathe kukakamiza ogula kuti azipeza kwanuko.
Mitengo yotsika imabweretsanso uthenga wabwino kunkhokwe za boma pakati pa kuchepa kwa ndalama komanso kuchepa kwachuma komwe kukukulirakulira.Chifukwa chakuchulukirachulukira kwa zosonkhanitsira ndalama, nduna ya zachuma Nirmala Sitharaman, popereka bajeti ya Union, adapempha kuti athawe kuti atengepo gawo la 50-points pakusokonekera kwachuma kwa 2019-2020, kutengera kuyerekeza komwe kwasinthidwa kukhala 3.8% ya GDP.
Bwanamkubwa wa RBI Shaktikanta Das Loweruka adati kutsika kwamitengo yamafuta kudzakhala ndi zotsatira zabwino pakukwera kwamitengo."Kukula kwakukulu kukuchokera kukukwera kwamitengo yazakudya, mwachitsanzo, masamba ndi mapuloteni.Kukwera kwamitengo kwatsika pang'ono chifukwa chakuwongoleranso mitengo yapa telecom," adawonjezera.
Zolemedwa ndi kuchepa kwamakampani opanga zinthu, mafakitale aku India adachita mgwirizano mu Disembala, pomwe kukwera kwa inflation kudakwera kwa mwezi wachisanu ndi chimodzi wotsatizana mu Januwale, zomwe zidayambitsa kukayikira za momwe chuma chatsopanochi chibwerera.Kukula kwachuma ku India kukuyerekeza ndi National Statistical Office kutsika ndi 5% mu 2019-2020 kwa zaka 11 chifukwa chakugwiritsa ntchito mosasamala komanso kufunikira kwazachuma.
Madan Sabnavis, katswiri wazachuma pa CARE Ratings, adati mitengo yotsika yamafuta yakhala dalitso ku India."Komabe, kupanikizika kokwera sikungathetsedwe, ndikuchepetsa kwina komwe kukuyembekezeka ndi OPEC ndi mayiko ena omwe akutumiza kunja.Chifukwa chake, tiyenera kuyang'ana momwe tingachulukitsire zogulitsa kunja ndikuyang'ana kuti tithandizire kutsika kwamitengo yamafuta, ndiye kuti, coronavirus, ndikukankhira katundu wathu ku China, kwinaku tikuyang'ana njira zina zogulitsira kunja.Mwamwayi, chifukwa chakuyenda kwachuma, kukakamiza kwa rupee si vuto, "adaonjeza.
Pokhudzidwa ndi momwe mafuta akukhudzidwira, OPEC ikhoza kupititsa patsogolo msonkhano wawo wa Marichi 5-6, gulu lawo laukadaulo likuvomereza kudulidwa kwakanthawi pamakonzedwe a Opec +.
"Chifukwa cha malonda abwino ochokera Kum'mawa, kukhudzidwa kwa madoko monga JNPT (Jawaharlal Nehru Port Trust) kudzakhala kwakukulu, pamene doko la Mundra lidzakhala lochepa," atero a Jagannarayan Padmanabhan, wotsogolera komanso wotsogolera mayendedwe. Logistics ku Crisil Infrastructure Advisory."Choyipa ndichakuti zopanga zina zitha kuchoka ku China kupita ku India kwakanthawi."
Pomwe kukwera kwamitengo yotsika mtengo chifukwa cha kukwera kwa mikangano pakati pa US ndi Iran kunali kwakanthawi, kufalikira kwa coronavirus ndi zomwe zatsala pang'ono kudulidwa ndi mayiko a OPEC zabweretsa chinthu chosatsimikizika.
“Ngakhale mitengo yamafuta ndi yotsika, mtengo wosinthira (rape motsutsana ndi dollar) ukukwera, zomwe zikubweretsanso kukwera mtengo.Ndife omasuka pamene rupee ili pafupi 65-70 motsutsana ndi dola.Popeza ndalama zambiri zomwe timawononga, kuphatikizapo mafuta oyendetsa ndege, zimalipidwa ndi dola, ndalama zakunja ndizofunikira kwambiri pamitengo yathu, "adatero mkulu wina wa ndege ku New Delhi ngati sakudziwika.
Kunena zoona, kuchulukirachulukira kwa kufunikira kwa mafuta kumatha kukwezanso mitengo yomwe ingapangitse kukwera kwa mitengo ndikuwononga kufunikira kwake.
Kukwera kwamitengo yamafuta kumakhudzanso kukwera mtengo kwa zopangira ndi zoyendera komanso kumapangitsa kukwera kwamitengo yazakudya.Kuyesayesa kulikonse kochepetsera mtolo wa ogula pochepetsa msonkho wa mafuta a petulo ndi dizilo kungalepheretse kusonkhanitsa ndalama.
Ravindra Sonavane, Kalpana Pathak, Asit Ranjan Mishra, Shreya Nandi, Rhik Kundu, Navadha Pandey ndi Gireesh Chandra Prasad anathandizira nkhaniyi.
Tsopano mwalembetsa kumakalata athu.Ngati simungapeze imelo iliyonse kumbali yathu, chonde onani chikwatu cha sipamu.
Nthawi yotumiza: Apr-28-2021